Indicators / United States / Presidential vote
Presidential vote margin
pts · MIT Election Data and Science Lab, County Presidential Election Returns 2000–2024, via electiondata.dev · Republican minus Democratic share of all presidential votes cast
- United States, 2024
- R+1.5
- States with a figure
- 51 2024
- Counties with a figure
- 3,104 2024
Show the numbers (7 rows)
| Year | United States |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 1.5 |
| 2020 | -4.4 |
| 2016 | -2.1 |
| 2012 | -3.9 |
| 2008 | -7.3 |
| 2004 | 2.5 |
| 2000 | -0.5 |
Every state, 2024
| Rank | State | Presidential vote margin | 4 yr | 8 yr | 12 yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wyoming | R+45.8 | R+2.6 | D+0.5 | R+4.9 |
| 2 | West Virginia | R+41.9 | R+2.9 | D+0.3 | R+15.1 |
| 3 | Idaho | R+36.5 | R+5.7 | R+4.7 | R+4.6 |
| 4 | North Dakota | R+36.4 | R+3.1 | R+0.7 | R+16.8 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | R+34.3 | R+1.2 | D+2.1 | R+0.7 |
| 6 | Arkansas | R+30.6 | R+3.0 | R+3.7 | R+6.9 |
| 7 | Kentucky | R+30.5 | R+4.6 | R+0.7 | R+7.8 |
| 8 | Alabama | R+30.5 | R+5.0 | R+2.7 | R+8.2 |
| 9 | Tennessee | R+29.7 | R+6.5 | R+3.7 | R+9.3 |
| 10 | South Dakota | R+29.2 | R+3.0 | D+0.6 | R+11.2 |
| 11 | Mississippi | R+22.9 | R+6.3 | R+5.1 | R+11.4 |
| 12 | Louisiana | R+22.0 | R+3.4 | R+2.4 | R+4.8 |
| 13 | Utah | R+21.6 | R+1.2 | R+3.5 | D+26.5 |
| 14 | Nebraska | R+20.6 | R+1.4 | D+4.5 | D+1.2 |
| 15 | Montana | R+19.9 | R+3.6 | D+0.5 | R+6.3 |
| 16 | Indiana | R+19.0 | R+2.9 | D+0.2 | R+8.8 |
| 17 | Missouri | R+18.4 | R+3.0 | D+0.2 | R+9.0 |
| 18 | South Carolina | R+17.9 | R+6.2 | R+3.6 | R+7.4 |
| 19 | Kansas | R+16.1 | R+1.5 | D+4.5 | D+5.5 |
| 20 | Texas | R+13.7 | R+8.1 | R+4.7 | D+2.1 |
| 21 | Alaska | R+13.1 | R+3.0 | D+1.6 | D+0.9 |
| 22 | Iowa | R+13.1 | R+4.7 | R+3.7 | R+18.9 |
| 23 | Florida | R+13.1 | R+9.7 | R+11.9 | R+14.0 |
| 24 | Ohio | R+11.2 | R+3.2 | R+3.1 | R+14.2 |
| 25 | Arizona | R+5.5 | R+5.8 | R+2.0 | D+3.6 |
| 26 | North Carolina | R+3.2 | R+1.9 | D+0.4 | R+1.2 |
| 27 | Nevada | R+3.1 | R+5.5 | R+5.5 | R+9.8 |
| 28 | Georgia | R+2.2 | R+2.4 | D+2.9 | D+5.6 |
| 29 | Pennsylvania | R+1.7 | R+2.9 | R+1.0 | R+7.1 |
| 30 | Michigan | R+1.4 | R+4.2 | R+1.2 | R+10.9 |
| 31 | Wisconsin | R+0.9 | R+1.5 | R+0.1 | R+7.7 |
| 32 | New Hampshire | D+2.8 | R+4.6 | D+2.4 | R+2.8 |
| 33 | Minnesota | D+4.2 | R+2.9 | D+2.7 | R+3.5 |
| 34 | Virginia | D+5.8 | R+4.3 | D+0.5 | D+1.9 |
| 35 | New Jersey | D+5.9 | R+10.0 | R+8.2 | R+11.9 |
| 36 | New Mexico | D+6.0 | R+4.8 | R+2.2 | R+4.1 |
| 37 | Maine | D+6.5 | R+2.1 | D+3.5 | R+8.8 |
| 38 | Illinois | D+10.9 | R+6.1 | R+6.1 | R+6.0 |
| 39 | Colorado | D+11.0 | R+2.5 | D+6.1 | D+5.6 |
| 40 | New York | D+12.6 | R+10.3 | R+9.9 | R+17.2 |
| 41 | Rhode Island | D+13.6 | R+7.2 | R+1.9 | R+13.9 |
| 42 | Oregon | D+14.3 | R+1.8 | D+3.3 | D+2.2 |
| 43 | Connecticut | D+14.5 | R+5.6 | D+0.9 | R+2.8 |
| 44 | Delaware | D+14.7 | R+4.2 | D+3.3 | R+3.9 |
| 45 | Washington | D+18.2 | R+1.0 | D+2.0 | D+3.3 |
| 46 | California | D+20.1 | R+9.0 | R+10.0 | R+3.0 |
| 47 | Hawaii | D+23.1 | R+6.4 | R+9.1 | R+19.6 |
| 48 | Massachusetts | D+25.2 | R+8.0 | R+2.4 | D+2.1 |
| 49 | Maryland | D+28.5 | R+4.7 | D+2.1 | D+2.5 |
| 50 | Vermont | D+31.2 | R+3.9 | D+4.8 | R+4.4 |
| 51 | District of Columbia | D+83.8 | R+2.9 | R+3.0 | D+0.2 |
Rank 1 is the highest value, the most Republican. States are the 50 states, DC, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands where they have a figure.
The widest margins each way, 2024
| Most Republican | State | Presidential vote margin |
|---|---|---|
| Roberts County | Texas | R+92.1 |
| Grant County | Nebraska | R+91.8 |
| Hayes County | Nebraska | R+91.7 |
| Borden County | Texas | R+91.5 |
| King County | Texas | R+91.1 |
| McPherson County | Nebraska | R+90.1 |
| Garfield County | Montana | R+89.6 |
| Motley County | Texas | R+88.8 |
| Glasscock County | Texas | R+88.2 |
| Sherman County | Texas | R+88.1 |
| Most Democratic | State | Presidential vote margin |
|---|---|---|
| District of Columbia | District of Columbia | D+83.8 |
| Prince George's County | Maryland | D+74.8 |
| Petersburg city | Virginia | D+72.8 |
| Baltimore city | Maryland | D+72.4 |
| Oglala Lakota County | South Dakota | D+70.6 |
| Clayton County | Georgia | D+69.2 |
| Charlottesville city | Virginia | D+68.7 |
| Claiborne County | Mississippi | D+67.6 |
| Orleans Parish | Louisiana | D+67.0 |
| Richmond city | Virginia | D+66.3 |
Every county's figure is on its own page, in its profile table, with its rank among all counties and within its state.
Get this data
This page's numbers, as JSON:
curl https://visualizedata.org/data/us-indicators/us-pres-margin.jsonEvery place from electiondata.dev (live, no key; MIT Election Data and Science Lab data, this exact version):
curl "https://api.electiondata.dev/v1/county-president@2026-10-26.a942e8daa5/download/county-president.parquet"Source
- MIT Election Data and Science Lab, County Presidential Election Returns 2000–2024 (CC0): MEDSL county returns, (Republican − Democratic) / all votes.
- Read through electiondata.dev, dataset county-president, version 2026-10-26.a942e8daa5; its 1 input files from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab are named with their sha256 in this page's data, and the site's checks recompute every figure from them.
- The margin is the Republican candidate's votes minus the Democratic candidate's, as a share of every presidential vote cast in the county, third parties and write-ins included. A state is the sum of every reporting unit MEDSL lists in it, so Alaska (which reports by state house district, not county) has a state figure but no county figures, and Connecticut's former counties count toward the state. The changes compare with the elections 4, 8 and 12 years before. MEDSL's file is served by Harvard Dataverse after a short form, so the site's checks read a copy whose MD5 Dataverse publishes.
- Every four years, when MEDSL publishes the certified county returns.
- Built 2026-10-27.